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Exit Polls

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  1. Exit Polls in Fraud in Voting
News
  1. -10-20-06 Exit Poll Pilot for 2006 (ElectionDefenseAlliance.org)
      "We will be conducting an exit poll to verify reported election results in selected precincts for the November 2006 elections. In parallel, we will be collecting registration data and election results from the precincts where we poll and tracking it up to the state level. Anomalies in this data will be an independent indication of whether irregularities have taken place. This is a pilot project so as to prepare for more comprehensive election verification efforts in future elections." 10-06

Papers
  1. Exit Polls - Accurate or Unreliable in 2004? (InTheseTimes.com) star
      "Exit polls are highly accurate. They remove most of the sources of potential polling error by identifying actual voters and asking them immediately afterward who they had voted for."

      "The reliability of exit polls is so generally accepted that the Bush administration helped pay for them during recent elections in Georgia, Belarus and Ukraine." 2-05

  2. Exit Polls - Review of Mitofsky-Edison Exit Polls (USCountVotes.org) star
      "The Edison/Mitofsky report confirms there were large differences between their exit polls and the official results of the 2004 presidential election – much more so than in previous elections(p. 31). The national exit poll indicated a 3 point victory for Kerry; whereas the official election results indicated that he lost by 2.5%, a difference of 5.5%."

      "The Edison/Mitofsky report fails to substantiate their hypothesis that the difference between their exit polls and official election results should be explained by problems with the exit polls. They assert without supporting evidence that (p. 4), “Kerry voters were more likely to participate in the exit polls than Bush voters.” In fact, data included within the report suggest that the opposite might be true."

      "Their analysis of the potential correlation of exit poll errors with voting machine type is incomplete and inadequate, and their report ignores the alternative hypothesis that the official election results could have been corrupted." 2-05

  3. Exit Polls - Review of Mitofsky-Edison Exit Polls for the National Election Pool (Exit-Poll.net)
      "Our investigation of the differences between the exit poll estimates and the actual vote count point to one primary reason: in a number of precincts a higher than average Within Precinct Error most likely due to Kerry voters participating in the exit polls at a higher rate than Bush voters."

      Editor's Note: We find the above statement to be bizzare. Mitofsky-Edison's report data contradict their summary statement. 01-06

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